What do the stats tell us about the top 4 chances of the big six?
With the 2018/19 Premier League season heading towards the finish line, the top half of the table shows few surprises. The rankings of Wolves and Watford may be somewhat unexpected, but the contenders for a Champions League ticket are the usual bunch.
Tottenham is well placed, and among the fans there is little doubt that Pochettino’s men will play on the highest European level next year. More excitement is raised by the question: who will join them in the race for European glory: Manchester United, Chelsea or Arsenal? And of course: who will win the title? Will it be Man. City for the second year in a row, or will it be Liverpool for the first time in 28 years?
The remaining eight match days will be decisive, and when the Premier League runs into it final stages, interesting things happen. Teams that have something to fight for usually perform better, and there are also clubs, like Leicester and Crystal Palace, that tend to win more points towards the end of the season. Tottenham’s results usually remain stable over the whole season, as the stats from the last 10 years show.
As for the question “Manchester City or Liverpool”: of the teams in 1st place with 10 match days to go, 9 went on to win the title.
And more important from Tottenham’s perspective: of the 30 teams in 2nd, 3rd or 4th position with 10 games remaining 27 ended in the top 4. One of the three that dropped out however was Tottenham, who finished 5th in the 2009/10 season.
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